Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 37.61%. A win for Sabadell had a probability of 33.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Sabadell win was 0-1 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alcorcon would win this match.