Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Peterhead in this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterhead | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 49.22% | 25.18% | 25.6% |
| Both teams to score 51.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.03% | 50.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.16% | 72.84% |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.27% | 20.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.66% | 53.34% |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.39% | 34.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.67% | 71.33% |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterhead | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 1-0 @ 11.28% 2-1 @ 9.43% 2-0 @ 8.88% 3-1 @ 4.95% 3-0 @ 4.66% 3-2 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 1.95% 4-0 @ 1.83% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.58% Total : 49.21% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 7.17% 2-2 @ 5% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 7.61% 1-2 @ 6.36% 0-2 @ 4.04% 1-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.15% Total : 25.6% |