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J1 League | Gameweek 19
Jun 22, 2024 at 11am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Sagan Tosu
3 - 0
Kyoto Sanga

Ryan (58', 60'), Naganuma (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Fukuoka (86')

Preview: Sagan Tosu vs. Kyoto Sanga - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Kyoto Sanga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Sagan Tosu are set to host Kyoto Sanga FC at the Ekimae Real Estate Stadium on Saturday in Japan's J1 League in a crucial relegation clash.

The home side are 18th and are one place and one point from safety with 14 points, while the visitors are second-last in 19th place and also have 14 points.

Match preview

Sagan Tosu head coach Kenta Kawai during the 2024 J1 League match between Urawa Red Diamonds 3-0 Sagan Tosu at Saitama Stadium 2002 in Saitama, Japan, April 7, 2024 [IMAGO]© Imago

After 17 games the hosts are averaging just 0.82 points per game this term, and this is the third consecutive season that this figure has been in decline.

In fact, this is Tosu's lowest average return since returning to the top flight in 2012.

Their precarious position will be of serious concern to manager Kenta Kawai, although he does at least have the comfort of a game in hand over 17th-placed Shonan Bellmare.

Kawai's side have conceded 30 goals this season and this makes them the division's fourth-worst defensive side, while they also have the league's joint-third worst goal difference.

Tosu have been led by Kawai since January 2022 and although they have won two of their last five games in the J1 League they have lost their last three without scoring, and have lost 13 of their last 20 matches.

Though the hosts have collected 10 of their 14 points at the Ekimae Real Estate Stadium, their form at home has not been particularly consistent given they have lost nine of the last 13 league fixtures at their own stadium.

 Cho Kwi-Jea (Sanga), Football / Soccer : 2022 J. League YBC Levain Cup Group Stage Match between Kashiwa Reysol 0-1 Kyoto Sanga F.C. at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium, Chiba, Japan MAY 18, 2022 [IMAGO]© Imago

Visitors Kyoto Sanga have played 18 top-flight games this season, conceding 31 goals and scoring just 15 times, six less than Tosu.

They are unbeaten in their last three league games, with two draws and a win last time out against Consadole Sapporo on Saturday, but prior to this they did lose eight of their last nine.

Manager Kwi-Jea Cho has been in charge since February 2021 and was able to help the club return to the top flight in 2022.

Although Kyoto Sanga are at risk of relegation, this is their third consecutive season in the J1 League, and Cho should be commended for his work considering his side had spent 11 seasons in Japan's second division between 2011 and 2021.

Interestingly, though his team's away record this campaign has not been particularly strong, they have earned 10 of their 14 points on the road and this makes them the league's 13th-best away team based on points won, contrasting with their home form in which they rank last.

Games between Kyoto Sanga and Sagan Tosu have usually been high scoring affairs, with the last four top-flight encounters seeing 15 goals scored and two wins apiece.

Sagan Tosu J1 League form:

Kyoto Sanga J1 League form:

Team News

Fuchi Honda of Sagan Tosu during the 2023 J1 League soccer match between Urawa Reds and Sagan Tosu at Saitama Stadium in Saitama, Japan, May 10, 2023 [IMAGO]© Imago

The hosts are set to be without attacking midfielder Fuchi Honda as he recovers from a lateral meniscus tear, an injury that has kept him out since May 2023.

Midfielder Yoshiki Narahara is also out for Sagan Tosu due to the cruciate ligament injury he suffered in September 2023.

Goalkeeper Masahiro Okamoto is not expected to return until August after picking up a calf injury in early June.

As for the away side, right-back Kyo Sato was forced off with an injury during his side's most recent match against Sapporo and it remains to be seen if he is ready for this weekend's clash.

Elsewhere, they have no other injury concerns to contend with, but centre-back Hisashi Appiah Tawiah will have to be cautious as he is at risk of suspension if he picks up another yellow card.

Sagan Tosu possible starting lineup:
Il-Kyu; Harada, Kimura, Kim, Maruhashi; Kawahara, Tezuka; Togashi, Kikuchi, Yokoyama; Ryan

Kyoto Sanga possible starting lineup:
Gu; Fukuda, Miyamoto, Y. Suzuki, T. Suzuki; Kawasaki, Kaneko, Hirato; Toyokawa, Hara, Matsuda

SM words green background

We say: Sagan Tosu 1-2 Kyoto Sanga

Considering the hosts have lost their last three league fixtures, it is feasible that they could struggle once again on Saturday.

Additionally, Kyoto Sanga have fared considerably better on the road than at home, so expect them to cause Sagan Tosu problems in what could be a tense clash at the Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here.

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Tables header RHS
1Machida Zelvia23154436171949
2Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka23135528171144
3Vissel KobeVissel Kobe23125634181641
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers2312563729841
5Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima23910439241537
6Cerezo OsakaCerezo2391043124737
7FC Tokyo2310673430436
8Avispa Fukuoka239862321235
9Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa239683630633
10Tokyo Verdy2371063136-531
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus2393112426-230
12Yokohama F MarinosYokohama2385103536-129
13Kashiwa ReysolReysol237882833-529
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki2351083233-125
15Albirex Niigata2367103036-625
16Jubilo Iwata2366112938-924
17Sagan Tosu2372143040-1023
18Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare2357113338-522
19Kyoto Sanga2357112037-1722
20Consadole SapporoConsadole2326151744-2712

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