Russian Premier League
Aug 30, 2026 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Lukoil Arena
  • Mirlind Daku 41' yellowcard
  • Christopher Wooh 59' yellowcard
  • Juan Carlos Carcedo 60' yellowcard
  • Mirlind Daku 76' goal
  • yellowcard Danila Vedernikov 36'
  • yellowcard Jhon Alex Palacios 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Ildar Akhmetzyanov 50'
  • yellowcard Gedeon Guzina 59'
  • goal Ruslan Kul 66'
  • yellowcard Omar Minatulaev 83'
  • yellowcard Maxime Sivis 86'
  • yellowcard Bogdan Ovsyannikov 90'
  • yellowcard Emil Tsenov 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Aleksey Tataev 90'+2'

Spartak Moscow vs Orenburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Spartak Moscow

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 6.00pm
Spartak Moscow 2 - 0 Zenit
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Manfred Ugalde

Orenburg

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 22, 2026 1.30pm
Fakel 0 - 0 Orenburg
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Ruslan Kul

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 62.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.42% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 14.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.01%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%) , while for a Orenburg win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result

Spartak Moscow 62.98% ▲ (+0.13)
Draw 22.42% ▼ (-0.03)
Orenburg 14.56% ▼ (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.38% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.94% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 26.06% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 50.47% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 49.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 28.31% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 71.69% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 17.78% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 82.22% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Spartak Moscow 46.21% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 38.08% ▼ (-0.10)
Orenburg 15.71% ▲ (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Spartak Moscow 65.23% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 7.69% ▲ (+0.03)
Orenburg 27.08% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 62.75% ▼ (-0.07)
Equal 8 10.48%
Under 8 26.76% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 9 51.65% ▼ (-0.06)
Equal 9 11.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 37.25% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 10.5 40.82% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 10.5 59.18% ▲ (+0.05)

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 1.5 55.56% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 44.44% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 29.21% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 70.79% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 12.57% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 87.43% ▼ (-0.09)

Orenburg Goals

Over 0.5 46.41% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 0.5 53.59% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 1.5 17.09% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 82.91% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 5.19% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 94.81% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 1.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.74% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Spartak Moscow 62.98%
Draw 22.42%
Orenburg 14.55%
Spartak Moscow
1-0 @ 13.52% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 12.01% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.39% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 8.01% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 12.31% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 62.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.67% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 7.69% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.91%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.42%
Orenburg
0-1 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.79% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 14.55%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League
Mar 22, 2026 10.45am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • E. Bolotov 46' yellowcard
  • Anas El Mahraoui 69' yellowcard
  • Ruslan Kul 78' yellowcard
  • G. Guzina 78' yellowcard
  • G. Guzina 79' yellowcard
  • Ruslan Kul 79' yellowcard
  • Renat Golybin 83' yellowcard
  • goal Levi García 17'
  • goal Ruslan Litvinov 25'
  • yellowcard Manfred Ugalde 61'
  • yellowcard Pablo Solari 82'
  • yellowcard Oleg Reabciuk 82'
  • yellowcard Nail Umyarov 88'
  • yellowcard Christopher Martins 88'
Russian Premier League
Oct 25, 2025 12.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Russian Premier League Gameweek 19
Mar 2, 2025 1.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Otkrytiye Arena
  • Manfred Ugalde 51' goal
  • Daniil Denisov 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Pablo Solari 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Maksim Sidorov 7'
  • yellowcard Jimmy Marin 49'
  • redcard Maksim Sidorov 58'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 1
Jul 21, 2024 3.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • David Deogracia 24' yellowcard
  • Matias Perez 43' yellowcard
  • Matias Perez 62' goal
  • Feyttullah Gurluk 67' goal
  • Tomas Muro 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nail Umyarov 23'
  • yellowcard Daniil Khlusevich 80'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 30
May 25, 2024 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Gazovik
  • Matias Perez 82' yellowcard
  • Stepan Oganesyan 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruslan Litvinov 55'
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Maximenko 81'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 1
Jul 23, 2023 3.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Otkrytiye Arena
  • Victor Moses 45' goal
  • Pavel Meleshin 65' yellowcard
  • Daniil Khlusevich 76' goal
  • Daniil Khlusevich 90'+1' goal
  • Keita Balde 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cesar Florentin 45'+2'
  • goal Dmitriy Vorobyev 50'
  • yellowcard Matias Perez 65'
  • goal Cesar Florentin 67'
  • yellowcard Braian Mansilla 79'
  • yellowcard Nikolay Sysuev 88'