Russian Premier League
Aug 9, 2026 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Lukoil Arena
  • Manfred Ugalde 2' goal
  • Gedson Fernandes 79' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Olaza 5'
  • goal João Batxi 10'
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Chernikov 21'
  • yellowcard Ilya Vakhania 76'
  • yellowcard Jubal 90'+4'

Spartak Moscow vs FC Krasnodar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Spartak Moscow

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 6.30pm
Akhmat Grozny 1 - 2 Spartak Moscow

FC Krasnodar

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 2, 2026 4.15pm
Krasnodar 3 - 2 Fakel

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 50.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.52% and a win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 22.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%) , while for a FC Krasnodar win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result

Spartak Moscow 50.99% ▲ (+0.25)
Draw 26.52% ▼ (-0.06)
FC Krasnodar 22.49% ▼ (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.09% ▲ (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.62% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 25.38% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 2.5 49.79% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 50.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 27.87% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 72.13% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 4.5 15.71% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 4.5 84.29% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Spartak Moscow 37.55% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 43.41% ▲ (+0.05)
FC Krasnodar 19.04% ▲ (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Spartak Moscow 59.91%
No Goal 7.45% ▼ (-0.02)
FC Krasnodar 32.64% ▲ (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 49.96% ▲ (+1.06)
Equal 8 10.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 8 39.16% ▼ (-1.04)
Over 9 39.48% ▲ (+0.98)
Equal 9 10.48% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 9 50.04% ▼ (-1.06)
Over 10.5 30.15% ▲ (+0.86)
Under 10.5 69.85% ▼ (-0.86)

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 1.5 47.93% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 1.5 52.07% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 2.5 22.07% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 77.93% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 8.37% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 91.63% ▼ (-0.08)

FC Krasnodar Goals

Over 0.5 59.04% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 0.5 40.96% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 1.5 25.34% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 74.66% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 8.04% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 2.5 91.96% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 2.12% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 97.88% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Spartak Moscow 50.98%
Draw 26.52%
FC Krasnodar 22.48%
Spartak Moscow
1-0 @ 11.32% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.88% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.07% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.77% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 8.12% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 50.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 7.45% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.32%
3-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 26.52%
FC Krasnodar
0-1 @ 6.59% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 5.83% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 22.48%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League Gameweek 26
Apr 23, 2026 5.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Otkrytie Arena
  • Christopher Martins 38' goal
  • Pablo Solari 65' yellowcard
  • Igor Dmitriev 81' yellowcard
  • Levi García 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eduard Spertsyan 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Juan Manuel Boselli 74'
  • yellowcard Moses David Cobnan 74'
  • goal Jubal 85'
Russian Premier League
Nov 2, 2025 3.00pm
Russian Premier League Gameweek 17
Dec 1, 2024 4.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion FK Krasnodar
  • Aleksandr Chernikov 19' yellowcard
  • Sergey Petrov 40' yellowcard
  • Jhon Cordoba 69' yellowcard
  • Vitor Tormena 71' yellowcard
  • goal Manfred Ugalde 17'
  • yellowcard Marquinhos 26'
  • goal Manfred Ugalde 28'
  • yellowcard Manfred Ugalde 61'
  • yellowcard Srdan Babic 82'
  • goal Ezequiel Barco 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Barco 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Barco 90'+5'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 2.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Otkrytiye Arena
  • Nail Umyarov 34' yellowcard
  • Ruslan Litvinov 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Kevin Pina 8'
  • yellowcard Kevin Pina 10'
  • yellowcard Murad Musaev 11'
  • goal Joao Victor 45'+1'
  • goal Jesus Medina 90'+6' (OG)
Russian Premier League Gameweek 28
May 11, 2024 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Otkrytiye Arena
  • Roman Zobnin 35' goal
  • yellowcard Kaio Pantaleao 81'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 7
Sep 2, 2023 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion FK Krasnodar
  • Jhon Cordoba 20' yellowcard
  • Jhon Cordoba 39' goal
  • Olakunle Olusegun 58' yellowcard
  • Eduard Spertsyan 84' goal
  • Kady 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aleksandr Selikhov 81'
  • yellowcard Jesus Medina 86'