Russian Premier League Gameweek 1
Jul 25, 2026 6.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Lukoil Arena
  • Marquinhos 24' goal
  • Christopher Martins 79' goal
  • Danil Prutsev 86' goal
  • yellowcard Andrey Egorychev 32'
  • yellowcard Ilya Dyatlov 39'
  • yellowcard Ivan Timoshenko 74'

Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moskva - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Spartak Moscow

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
May 17, 2026 4.00pm
Makhachkala 0 - 0 Spartak Moscow
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Manfred Ugalde

Rodina Moskva

All competitions
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Artem Maksimenko

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 64.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.46% and a win for Rodina Moskva had a probability of 12.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.34%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%) , while for a Rodina Moskva win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result

Spartak Moscow 64.84% (-0.41)
Draw 22.46% (+0.18)
Rodina Moskva 12.71% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.51% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.4% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 28.6% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 46.36% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 53.64% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 25.22%
Under 3.5 74.78% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 15.89% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 84.11% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Spartak Moscow 44.69% (-0.06)
Draw 39.82% (-0.11)
Rodina Moskva 15.49% (+0.17)

Team To Score First

Spartak Moscow 65.43% (-0.06)
No Goal 8.76% (+0.04)
Rodina Moskva 25.81% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 49.16% (+0.01)
Equal 8 12.04% (+0.02)
Under 8 38.8% (-0.04)
Over 9 37.69% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.46% (+0.03)
Under 9 50.84% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 27.66% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 72.34% (+0.04)

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 1.5 54.46% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 45.54% (+0.26)
Over 2.5 27.9% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 72.1% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 11.72% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 88.28% (+0.11)

Rodina Moskva Goals

Over 0.5 43.41% (+0.30)
Under 0.5 56.59% (-0.30)
Over 1.5 13.56% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 86.44% (-0.24)
Over 2.5 3.22% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 96.78% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 0.69% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 99.31% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Spartak Moscow 64.85%
Draw 22.46%
Rodina Moskva 12.7%
Spartak Moscow
1-0 @ 14.79% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 13.34% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 8.01% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.02)
Other @ 11.7% (-0.13)
Total : 64.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.02% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 8.76% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.12% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.02% (+0.01)
Total : 22.46%
Rodina Moskva
0-1 @ 5.06% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 3.3% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.68% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.67% (+0.04)
Total : 12.7%