Russian Premier League Gameweek 1
Jul 25, 2026 6.45pm
Lukoil Arena

Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moskva - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Spartak Moscow

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
May 17, 2026 4.00pm
Makhachkala 0 - 0 Spartak Moscow

Rodina Moskva

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 65.25%. A draw has a probability of 22.28% and a win for Rodina Moskva has a probability of 12.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (13.43%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.96%) , while for a Rodina Moskva win it is 0-1 (5%).

Result

Spartak Moscow 65.25%
Draw 22.28% (-0.04)
Rodina Moskva 12.46%

Both Teams to Score: 

42.43% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.45% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 28.55% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 46.41% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 53.59% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 25.22% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 74.75% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 15.94% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 84.06% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Spartak Moscow 44.74%
Draw 39.93%
Rodina Moskva 15.33%

Team To Score First

Spartak Moscow 65.49% (+0.02)
No Goal 8.72% (-0.04)
Rodina Moskva 25.79% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 49.15%
Equal 8 12.02%
Under 8 38.83%
Over 9 37.71%
Equal 9 11.44%
Under 9 50.85%
Over 10.5 27.69%
Under 10.5 72.31%

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 1.5 54.72% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 45.28% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 28.12% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 71.88% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 11.83% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 88.17% (-0.02)

Rodina Moskva Goals

Over 0.5 43.11% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 56.89% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 13.33% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 86.67% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 3.09% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 96.91% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 0.65%
Under 3.5 99.35%

Score analysis

Spartak Moscow 65.26%
Draw 22.29%
Rodina Moskva 12.46%
Spartak Moscow
1-0 @ 14.84% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 13.43%
2-1 @ 9.4%
3-0 @ 8.09%
3-1 @ 5.42%
3-2 @ 2.26% (+0.01)
Other @ 11.82% (+0.01)
Total : 65.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.96% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.72% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.08% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.29%
Rodina Moskva
0-1 @ 5% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.27% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.63% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 12.46%