Russian Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2026 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Kaliningrad Stadium
  • Andrey Mendel  23' goal
  • Mingiyan Beveev 47' yellowcard
  • Andrey Talalaev 60' yellowcard
  • Aymane Mourid 73' yellowcard
  • Nikolay Titkov 76' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Anderson 76' yellowcard
  • goal Manfred Ugalde 20'
  • goal Pablo Solari 49'
  • yellowcard Gedson Fernandes 76'
  • yellowcard Manfred Ugalde 76'
  • yellowcard Christopher Wooh 76'

Baltika vs Spartak Moscow - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Baltika

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 1.30pm
Krylia Sovetov 0 - 2 Baltika

Spartak Moscow

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 6.00pm
Spartak Moscow 1 - 2 Krasnodar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Baltika had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Baltika win was 1-0 (8.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result

Baltika 29.71% ▲ (+0.40)
Draw 27.31%
Spartak Moscow 42.94% ▼ (-0.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.5% ▲ (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.52% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 27.48% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 47.82% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 52.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 27.52% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 72.48% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 4.5 15.45% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 4.5 84.55% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Baltika 21.58% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 49.83% ▲ (+0.04)
Spartak Moscow 28.58% ▼ (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Baltika 39.93% ▲ (+0.39)
No Goal 8.44% ▼ (-0.04)
Spartak Moscow 51.63% ▼ (-0.35)

Corners

Over 8 32.72% ▼ (-0.93)
Equal 8 10.98% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 8 56.3% ▲ (+1.25)
Over 9 23.6% ▼ (-0.58)
Equal 9 9.13% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 9 67.28% ▲ (+0.94)
Over 10.5 16.55% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 10.5 83.45% ▲ (+0.27)

Baltika Goals

Over 1.5 30.34% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 1.5 69.66% ▼ (-0.39)
Over 2.5 10.87% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 2.5 89.13% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 3.5 3.39% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 96.61% ▼ (-0.10)

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5 73.31% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 0.5 26.69% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 1.5 40.84% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 1.5 59.16% ▲ (+0.28)
Over 2.5 17.89% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 2.5 82.11% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 6.35% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 3.5 93.65% ▲ (+0.09)

Score analysis

Baltika 29.72%
Draw 27.31%
Spartak Moscow 42.96%
Baltika
1-0 @ 8.52% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 6.75% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 4.88% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 1.99% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 29.72%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.47% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.44% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 27.31%
Spartak Moscow
0-1 @ 10.51% ▼ (-0.08)
1-2 @ 8.52% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 7.34% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 4.24% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.74%
Other @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.08)
Total : 42.96%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League
Nov 29, 2025 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Irakliy Manelov 30' redcard
  • Nikolai Titkov 60' goal
  • Chinonso Offor 67' yellowcard
  • Andrey Mendel 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexander Djiku 48'
  • yellowcard Alexander Djiku 49'
  • yellowcard Daniil Denisov 76'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 2
Jul 26, 2025 1.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Russian Premier League Gameweek 16
Nov 25, 2023 4.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Baltika Stadium
  • Guillermo Soto 52' yellowcard
  • goal Daniil Khlusevich 32'
  • yellowcard Jesus Medina 39'
  • yellowcard Srdan Babic 80'
  • goal Quincy Promes 88'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 2
Jul 31, 2023 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Otkrytiye Arena
  • Theo Bongonda 43' goal
  • Nail Umyarov 61' yellowcard
  • Quincy Promes 84' goal
  • Christopher Martins Pereira 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nikola Radmanovac 78'
  • goal Angelo Henriquez 90'