Russian Premier League Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2026 5.30pm
Kaliningrad Stadium

Baltika vs Spartak Moscow - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Baltika

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 1.30pm
Krylia Sovetov 0 - 2 Baltika

Spartak Moscow

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 6.00pm
Spartak Moscow 1 - 2 Krasnodar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Baltika has a probability of 29.32% and a draw has a probability of 27.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Baltika win is 1-0 (8.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.46%).

Result

Baltika 29.32% (+0.02)
Draw 27.31% (+0.01)
Spartak Moscow 43.38% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.41% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.47% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 27.53% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 47.79% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 52.21% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 27.43% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 72.57%
Over 4.5 15.38% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 84.62% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Baltika 21.56% (+0.08)
Draw 49.8% (-0.06)
Spartak Moscow 28.65% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Baltika 39.55% (-0.05)
No Goal 8.47% (+0.03)
Spartak Moscow 51.98% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 33.65% (+0.06)
Equal 8 11.3% (+0.02)
Under 8 55.05% (-0.09)
Over 9 24.17% (+0.05)
Equal 9 9.47% (+0.01)
Under 9 66.35% (-0.07)
Over 10.5 16.81% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 83.19% (-0.04)

Baltika Goals

Over 1.5 29.96% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 70.04% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 10.63% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 89.37% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 3.29%
Under 3.5 96.71%

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5 73.53% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 26.47% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 41.12% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 58.88% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 18.07% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 81.93% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 6.43%
Under 3.5 93.57%

Score analysis

Baltika 29.32%
Draw 27.31%
Spartak Moscow 43.37%
Baltika
1-0 @ 8.48% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 6.69% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.81%
3-1 @ 2.68%
3-2 @ 1.95%
3-0 @ 1.58%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 29.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.46% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 8.47% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 1.13% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 27.31%
Spartak Moscow
0-1 @ 10.58% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.59% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.42%
1-3 @ 4.27%
0-3 @ 3.5%
2-3 @ 2.74% (+0.02)
Other @ 6.27%
Total : 43.37%

Head to Head

Russian Premier League
Nov 29, 2025 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Irakliy Manelov 30' redcard
  • Nikolai Titkov 60' goal
  • Chinonso Offor 67' yellowcard
  • Andrey Mendel 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexander Djiku 48'
  • yellowcard Alexander Djiku 49'
  • yellowcard Daniil Denisov 76'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 2
Jul 26, 2025 1.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Russian Premier League Gameweek 16
Nov 25, 2023 4.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Baltika Stadium
  • Guillermo Soto 52' yellowcard
  • goal Daniil Khlusevich 32'
  • yellowcard Jesus Medina 39'
  • yellowcard Srdan Babic 80'
  • goal Quincy Promes 88'
Russian Premier League Gameweek 2
Jul 31, 2023 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Otkrytiye Arena
  • Theo Bongonda 43' goal
  • Nail Umyarov 61' yellowcard
  • Quincy Promes 84' goal
  • Christopher Martins Pereira 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nikola Radmanovac 78'
  • goal Angelo Henriquez 90'