Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Baltika had a probability of 33.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Baltika win was 1-0 (9.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.