Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.
