Champions League Gameweek 1
Real Madrid
Sep 8, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Inter Milan
  • Kylian Mbappé  14' goal
  • Federico Valverde  23' goal
  • Dean Huijsen 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Hakan Çalhanoğlu 39'
  • goal Carlos Augusto 77'
  • yellowcard Lautaro Martínez  79'
  • yellowcard Yann Bisseck 90'+4'

Real Madrid vs Inter Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Reaction

News
News
News
News
News

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

Inter Milan

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 47.39%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-2 (6.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result

Real Madrid 47.39% ▲ (+0.14)
Draw 23.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Inter Milan 29.25% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.92% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 18.68% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 60.7% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 39.3% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 38.85% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 61.15% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 24.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 75.81% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Real Madrid 36.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 35.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Inter Milan 28.78% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Real Madrid 51.39% ▲ (+0.08)
No Goal 4.85%
Inter Milan 43.76% ▼ (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 59.33% ▼ (-0.25)
Equal 8 10.64% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 30.04% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 9 48.36% ▼ (-0.25)
Equal 9 10.96%
Under 9 40.67% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 10.5 37.93% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 10.5 62.07% ▲ (+0.23)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 50.74% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 49.26% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 25.85% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 74.15% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 11.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 88.73% ▼ (-0.02)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 65.64% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 34.36% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 1.5 35.14% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 64.86% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 2.5 14.61% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 85.39% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 5.01% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.99% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 47.39%
Draw 23.35%
Inter Milan 29.25%
Real Madrid
2-1 @ 9.07% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.86% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.5% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 10.94% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 47.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.31% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.3% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 4.85%
3-3 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.33% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.35%
Inter Milan
1-2 @ 6.75% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.82%
1-3 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.83%
Other @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 29.25%

Head to Head

Champions League
Real Madrid
Dec 7, 2021 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Inter Milan
  • Toni Kroos 17' goal
  • Eder Militao 64' yellowcard
  • Marco Asensio 79' goal
  • yellowcard Danilo D'Ambrosio 54'
  • redcard Nicolo Barella 64'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Bastoni 74'
Champions League
Inter Milan
Sep 15, 2021 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Real Madrid
  • Lautaro Martinez 45'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Alaba 60'
  • goal Rodrygo 89'
Champions League
Inter Milan
Nov 25, 2020 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Real Madrid
  • Roberto Gagliardini 19' yellowcard
  • Arturo Vidal 33' yellowcard
  • Arturo Vidal 33' redcard
  • Stefano Sensi 86' yellowcard
  • goal Eden Hazard 7'
  • goal Achraf Hakimi 59' (OG)
Champions League
Real Madrid
Nov 3, 2020 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Alfredo Di Stéfano
Inter Milan
  • Karim Benzema 25' goal
  • Sergio Ramos 33' goal
  • Ferland Mendy 48' yellowcard
  • Federico Valverde 62' yellowcard
  • Rodrygo 80' goal
  • Casemiro 85' yellowcard
  • Thibaut Courtois 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 35'
  • yellowcard Arturo Vidal 44'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Brozovic 51'
  • goal Ivan Perisic 68'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Barella 72'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Inter Milan
Jul 27, 2015 1.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Tianhe Stadium, Guangzhou
Real Madrid
  • goal Jese 29'
  • goal Raphael Varane 56'
  • goal James Rodriguez 88'
  • yellowcard Alvaro Arbeloa 90'

Form Data

Betis 1 - 0 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 4 - 0 Malaga
Real Madrid 4 - 1 Real Sociedad
Espanyol 1 - 2 Real Madrid
Schalke 0 - 3 Real Madrid
Deportivo 0 - 1 Real Madrid
Inter Milan 3 - 2 Napoli
Cagliari 0 - 1 Inter Milan
Inter Milan 4 - 1 Monza
Inter Milan 1 - 0 Betis
Juventus 1 - 2 Inter Milan
AC Milan 1 - 1 Inter Milan

Build-up

News
News
News
News