Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 59.25%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 20.76% and a draw had a probability of 20.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (5.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.