Champions League Gameweek 8
Jan 28, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Parc des Princes
  • Ousmane Dembele 4' yellowcard
  • Vitinha 8' goal
  • Desire Doue 22' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Ramos 70' yellowcard
  • Senny Mayulu 87' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Mbaye 87' yellowcard
  • goal Joe Willock 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Harvey Barnes 67'
  • yellowcard Harvey Barnes 68'
  • yellowcard Anthony Gordon 68'
  • yellowcard Yoane Wissa 79'

Paris Saint-Germain vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 20, 2026 8.00pm
Sporting Lisbon 2 - 1 PSG

Newcastle United

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Jan 21, 2026 8.00pm
Newcastle 3 - 0 PSV

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 59.25%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 20.76% and a draw had a probability of 20.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (5.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 59.25% (-0.03)
Draw 20.03% (-0.03)
Newcastle United 20.76% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.27% (+0.28)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.26% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 19.74% (-0.16)
Over 2.5 58.85% (+0.21)
Under 2.5 41.15% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 36.22% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 63.78% (-0.20)
Over 4.5 22.88% (+0.15)
Under 4.5 77.12% (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Paris Saint-Germain 46.98% (-0.03)
Draw 34.76% (+0.01)
Newcastle United 18.26% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Paris Saint-Germain 61.21% (+0.04)
No Goal 4.82% (-0.05)
Newcastle United 33.97% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 61.55% (-0.16)
Equal 8 10.94%
Under 8 27.5% (+0.15)
Over 9 50.08% (-0.14)
Equal 9 11.48% (-0.01)
Under 9 38.45% (+0.16)
Over 10.5 39.02% (-0.12)
Under 10.5 60.98% (+0.12)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 1.5 57.27% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 42.73% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 31.41% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 68.59% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 13.84% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 86.16% (-0.08)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 55.76% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 44.24% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 25.05% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 74.95% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 8.56% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 91.44% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 2.4% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.6% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 59.24%
Draw 20.04%
Newcastle United 20.75%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 9.79%
2-0 @ 9.21% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 6.55% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.45% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.55% (+0.03)
Other @ 13.8% (+0.08)
Total : 59.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.41% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.75% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.02% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.04%
Total : 20.04%
Newcastle United
1-2 @ 5.4% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 5.06% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.79% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.15% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.11% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.36% (+0.03)
Total : 20.75%

Head to Head

Champions League
Nov 28, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Parc des Princes
  • Manuel Ugarte 36' yellowcard
  • Lee Kang-in 54' yellowcard
  • Ousmane Dembele 58' yellowcard
  • Milan Skriniar 60' yellowcard
  • Gianluigi Donnarumma 72' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Ramos 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Joelinton 22'
  • goal Alexander Isak 24'
  • yellowcard Miguel Almiron 83'
  • yellowcard Nick Pope 90'+2'
Champions League
Oct 4, 2023 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Miguel Almiron 17' goal
  • Dan Burn 39' goal
  • Sean Longstaff 50' goal
  • Bruno Guimaraes 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Anthony Gordon 70' yellowcard
  • Nick Pope 87' yellowcard
  • Fabian Schar 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Hernandez 38'
  • yellowcard Achraf Hakimi 43'
  • goal Lucas Hernandez 56'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Dembele 67'
  • yellowcard Warren Zaire-Emery 81'

Build-up

Predicted Lineups
Head to head