Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 1
Aug 2, 2026 5.30pm
Stadion Anđelko Herjavec

NK Varazdin vs Hajduk Split - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Varazdin

All competitions
Last game
May 23, 2026 3.00pm
Varazdin 2 - 0 Istra 1961

Hajduk Split

All competitions
Last game
May 22, 2026 5.15pm
Hajduk Split 6 - 3 Vukovar

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for NK Varazdin has a probability of 32.31% and a draw has a probability of 26.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest NK Varazdin win is 1-0 (8.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.3%).

Result

NK Varazdin 32.31% (+5.86)
Draw 26.79% (-0.84)
Hajduk Split 40.9% (-5.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.72% (+1.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.17% (+1.44)
Under 1.5 25.83% (-1.44)
Over 2.5 49.52% (+1.86)
Under 2.5 50.48% (-1.86)
Over 3.5 27.58% (+1.76)
Under 3.5 72.42% (-1.77)
Over 4.5 14.94% (+1.17)
Under 4.5 85.06% (-1.16)

First Half Winner

NK Varazdin 25.65% (+3.15)
Draw 43.95% (-0.70)
Hajduk Split 30.4% (-2.46)

Team To Score First

NK Varazdin 42.41% (+3.09)
No Goal 7.52% (-0.74)
Hajduk Split 50.07% (-2.36)

Corners

Over 8 53.06% (+1.93)
Equal 8 11.88% (+0.15)
Under 8 35.06% (-2.06)
Over 9 41.4% (+1.62)
Equal 9 11.66% (+0.31)
Under 9 46.94% (-1.93)
Over 10.5 30.88% (+1.22)
Under 10.5 69.12% (-1.22)

NK Varazdin Goals

Over 1.5 33.34% (+5.70)
Under 1.5 66.66% (-5.69)
Over 2.5 12.11% (+3.41)
Under 2.5 87.89% (-3.41)
Over 3.5 3.62% (+1.37)
Under 3.5 96.38% (-1.38)

Hajduk Split Goals

Over 0.5 73.25% (-2.69)
Under 0.5 26.75% (+2.68)
Over 1.5 40.12% (-3.00)
Under 1.5 59.88% (+3.00)
Over 2.5 16.31% (-2.09)
Under 2.5 83.69% (+2.08)
Over 3.5 5.71% (-0.83)
Under 3.5 94.29% (+0.84)

Score analysis

NK Varazdin 32.3%
Draw 26.79%
Hajduk Split 40.9%
NK Varazdin
1-0 @ 8.38% (+0.44)
2-1 @ 7.79% (+1.09)
2-0 @ 5.25% (+1.04)
3-1 @ 3.12% (+0.83)
3-2 @ 2.17% (+0.52)
3-0 @ 2.09% (+0.55)
Other @ 3.5% (+1.37)
Total : 32.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.3% (-0.45)
0-0 @ 7.52% (-0.74)
2-2 @ 5.74% (+0.21)
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.79%
Hajduk Split
0-1 @ 9.92% (-1.16)
1-2 @ 8.8% (-0.63)
0-2 @ 7.1% (-1.00)
1-3 @ 3.78% (-0.44)
0-3 @ 3.26% (-0.92)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.05)
Other @ 5.59% (-0.83)
Total : 40.9%

Head to Head

Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 33
May 3, 2026 5.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stadion Poljud
  • Sven Lesjak 27' goal
  • Rokas Pukstas 45'+1' goal
  • Roko Gabrić 46' yellowcard
  • Simun Hrgovic 61' yellowcard
  • Adam Guram 73' yellowcard
  • Luka Hodak 73' yellowcard
  • Abdoulie Sanyang 82' yellowcard
  • Abdoulie Sanyang 90'+6' goal
  • goal Aleksa Latkovic 21'
  • yellowcard Silvio Ilinkovic 46'
  • yellowcard Mario Mladenovski 46'
  • yellowcard 46'
  • yellowcard Ivan Canjuga 69'
  • yellowcard Petar Bockaj 78'
  • yellowcard Paizinho 82'
  • yellowcard Paizinho 83'
Croatian 1. HNL
Feb 28, 2026 4.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion Anđelko Herjavec
  • Iuri Tavares 40' goal
  • Roberto Puncec 59' yellowcard
  • Mario Marina 69' yellowcard
  • Stipe Juric 69' yellowcard
  • Novak Tepsic 86' yellowcard
  • goal Ante Rebić 23'
  • yellowcard Michele Sego 78'
  • yellowcard Noa Skoko 83'
  • yellowcard Dario Melnjak 83'
  • yellowcard Dario Melnjak 84'
  • yellowcard Noa Skoko 84'
Croatian 1. HNL
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Michele Sego 31' yellowcard
  • Michele Sego 54' goal
  • Zvonimir Sarlija 68' yellowcard
  • Marko Livaja 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Antonio Borsic 36'
  • yellowcard Vane Jovanov 38'
  • goal Tomislav Duvnjak 44'
  • yellowcard 70'
  • yellowcard Antonio Borsic 70'
Croatian 1. HNL
Sep 13, 2025 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 30
Apr 18, 2025 5.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Andelko Herjavec
  • Tomislav Duvnjak 40' yellowcard
  • Matej Vuk 42' goal
  • Luka Skaricic 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Mario Cuic 56' yellowcard
  • redcard Ismael Diallo 16'
  • goal Marko Livaja 50'
  • yellowcard Abdulia Sanyang 75'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2025 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion Poljud
  • Marko Livaja 9' goal
  • Dominik Prpic 11' yellowcard
  • Anthony Kalik 61' yellowcard
  • Ismael Diallo 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Novak Tepsic 59'