Croatian 1. HNL
May 23, 2026 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Anđelko Herjavec
  • Luka Mamic 14' yellowcard
  • Luka Mamic 38' yellowcard
  • Gregor Sikosek 65' yellowcard
  • Mario Marina 65' yellowcard
  • Iuri Tavares 65' yellowcard
  • Stipe Juric 76' yellowcard
  • Luka Posinković 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Advan Kadusic 46'
  • yellowcard Antonio Mauric 46'
  • yellowcard Vinko Rozic 46'
  • yellowcard Emil Frederiksen 67'
  • yellowcard Charles Adah Agada 78'

NK Varazdin vs NK Istra 1961 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

NK Varazdin

All competitions
Last game
May 15, 2026 5.00pm
Vukovar 0 - 2 Varazdin
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Aleksa Latkovic

NK Istra 1961

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 5.45pm
Istra 1961 0 - 0 Rijeka
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Smail Prevljak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Varazdin win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Varazdin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest NK Istra 1961 win was 0-1 (8.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result

NK Varazdin 45.06% (+0.58)
Draw 26.63% (-0.13)
NK Istra 1961 28.31% (-0.46)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.54% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.38% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 28.62% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 46.66% (-0.41)
Under 2.5 53.34% (+0.41)
Over 3.5 25.3% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 74.7% (+0.27)
Over 4.5 13.4% (-0.14)
Under 4.5 86.6% (+0.15)

First Half Winner

NK Varazdin 33.89% (+0.18)
Draw 44.17% (+0.04)
NK Istra 1961 21.94% (-0.20)

Team To Score First

NK Varazdin 52.32% (+0.53)
No Goal 8.47% (+0.08)
NK Istra 1961 39.21% (-0.59)

Corners

Over 8 60.98% (-0.29)
Equal 8 11.7% (+0.02)
Under 8 27.32% (+0.25)
Over 9 48.72% (-0.28)
Equal 9 12.26%
Under 9 39.02% (+0.29)
Over 10.5 37.04% (-0.25)
Under 10.5 62.96% (+0.25)

NK Varazdin Goals

Over 1.5 41.19% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 58.81% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 17.06% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 82.94% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 5.58% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 94.42% (-0.07)

NK Istra 1961 Goals

Over 0.5 62.92% (-0.52)
Under 0.5 37.08% (+0.52)
Over 1.5 28.43% (-0.67)
Under 1.5 71.57% (+0.66)
Over 2.5 9.19% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 90.81% (+0.43)
Over 3.5 2.32% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 97.68% (+0.15)

Score analysis

NK Varazdin 45.06%
Draw 26.63%
NK Istra 1961 28.31%
NK Varazdin
1-0 @ 11.69% (+0.16)
2-1 @ 9.49% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 7.82% (+0.17)
3-1 @ 4.3% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.55% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.55% (+0.10)
Total : 45.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.24% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.47% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.13)
Other @ 0.03% (-0.05)
Total : 26.63%
NK Istra 1961
0-1 @ 8.46% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7% (-0.13)
0-2 @ 4.66% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.10)
Other @ 2.29% (-0.11)
Total : 28.31%

Head to Head

Croatian 1. HNL
Mar 20, 2026 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
  • Dukan Ahmeti 46' yellowcard
  • Vinko Rozic 46' yellowcard
  • Allen Obando 70' yellowcard
  • Marcel Heister 77' goal
  • Josip Radosevic 81' goal
  • Israel Isaac Ayuma 81' yellowcard
  • Filip Taraba 87' yellowcard
  • goal Aleksa Latkovic 11'
  • yellowcard Antonio Borsic 46'
  • yellowcard Mario Mladenovski 63'
  • yellowcard Mario Marina 70'
  • yellowcard Petar Bockaj 85'
  • yellowcard Paizinho 85'
Croatian 1. HNL
Dec 19, 2025 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ivan Mamut 26' goal
  • Roberto Puncec 44' yellowcard
  • Lamine Ba 63' yellowcard
  • Ivan Mamut 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcel Heister 20'
  • redcard Oriol Riera 20'
  • goal Smail Prevljak 25'
  • goal Vinko Rozic 46'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Nasraoui 57'
  • yellowcard Vinko Rozic 67'
  • goal Smail Prevljak 68'
Croatian 1. HNL
Oct 3, 2025 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 34
May 11, 2025 5.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
  • Josip Radosevic 34' yellowcard
  • Ville Koski 72' yellowcard
  • Marcel Heister 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lamine Ba 41'
  • yellowcard Mario Marina 45'
  • yellowcard Tomislav Duvnjak 68'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2025 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Andelko Herjavec
  • Lamine Ba 36' yellowcard
  • Tomislav Duvnjak 64' yellowcard
  • Jaime Sierra 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marcel Heister 38'
  • yellowcard Salim Lawal 59'
  • yellowcard Hamza Jaganjac 81'
  • yellowcard Hamza Jaganjac 81'
Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 16
Dec 7, 2024 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Aldo Drosina
  • Advan Kadusic 36' yellowcard
  • Stephane Paul Keller 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dimitar Mitrovski 39'
  • yellowcard Ivan Nekic 63'