Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vukovar win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 36.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vukovar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest NK Varazdin win was 1-2 (9.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.