Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Varazdin win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for NK Lokomotiva had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Varazdin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest NK Lokomotiva win was 0-1 (8.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.