Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 52.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.06% and a win for Hajduk Split had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.02%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%) , while for a Hajduk Split win it was 1-2 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.