Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Celje had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Celje win was 2-1 (8.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.