Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Koper had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Koper win was 1-2 (7.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.