Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shkendija win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Hajduk Split had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shkendija win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Hajduk Split win was 0-1 (7.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%).