Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.67% and a win for NK Lokomotiva had a probability of 22.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (10.23%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%) , while for a NK Lokomotiva win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.