Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 75.92%. A draw had a probability of 15.45% and a win for Vukovar had a probability of 8.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.55%) and 3-0 (10.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%) , while for a Vukovar win it was 0-1 (3.28%).