Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 48.52%. A draw had a probability of 29.03% and a win for LNZ Cherkasy had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%) , while for a LNZ Cherkasy win it was 1-0 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.