Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Riga FC win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for LNZ Cherkasy had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Riga FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest LNZ Cherkasy win was 1-0 (8.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.