Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 48.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for AVS had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for an AVS win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.