Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
May 11, 2025 3.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
  • yellowcard Kiki Afonso 7'
  • yellowcard Fernando Fonseca 50'
  • goal Ze Luis 85'
  • yellowcard Guillermo Ochoa 90'+7'

Estrela Amadora vs AVS - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
May 5, 2025 7.30pm
Rio Ave 2 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Kikas

AVS

All competitions
Last game
May 5, 2025 8.15pm
AVS 1 - 2 Boavista
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
John Mercado

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 48.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for AVS had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for an AVS win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result

Estrela Amadora 48.18% (-1.18)
Draw 26.82% (+0.74)
AVS 25% (+0.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.58% (-1.66)

Goals

Over 2.5 42.43% (-2.36)
Under 2.5 57.57% (+2.37)
Over 3.5 21.65% (-1.91)
Under 3.5 78.35% (+1.91)
Over 4.5 9.3% (-1.16)
Under 4.5 90.7% (+1.16)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 76.04% (-1.55)
Under 0.5 23.96% (+1.55)
Over 1.5 41.81% (-2.27)
Under 1.5 58.19% (+2.27)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5 61.26% (-0.92)
Under 0.5 38.75% (+0.92)
Over 1.5 24.52% (-0.88)
Under 1.5 75.48% (+0.88)

Score analysis

Estrela Amadora 48.18%
Draw 26.81%
AVS 25%
Estrela Amadora
1-0 @ 13.26% (+0.59)
2-0 @ 9.48% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.24)
3-0 @ 4.51% (-0.22)
3-1 @ 4.28% (-0.32)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.21)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.16)
4-1 @ 1.53% (-0.20)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 48.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.57% (+0.25)
0-0 @ 9.28% (+0.81)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.23)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 26.81%
AVS
0-1 @ 8.8% (+0.57)
1-2 @ 5.96% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.17% (+0.17)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.11)
0-3 @ 1.32% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 25%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Dec 28, 2024 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves
  • Cristian Castro 35' yellowcard
  • Baptiste Roux 52' goal
  • John Mercado 87' yellowcard
  • goal Leo Cordeiro 8'
  • yellowcard Alan Ruiz 35'
  • yellowcard Nilton Varela 48'