Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33

May 11, 2025 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Jose Gomes

Estrela Amadora
0 - 1
AVS

FT(HT: 0-0)

Luis (85')
Afonso (7'), Fonseca (50'), Ochoa (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estrela Amadora and AVS, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Last Game: Rio Ave 2-0 Estrela Amadora
Monday, May 5 at 7.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

AVS

All competitions

Last Game: AVS 1-2 Boavista
Monday, May 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estrela Amadora win with a probability of 48.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for AVS had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for an AVS win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Estrela Amadora	Draw	AVS
48.18% ( -1.18)	26.82% ( 0.74)	25% ( 0.44)

Both teams to score 46.58% (

-1.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.43% (

-2.36)

57.57% (

2.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.65% (

-1.9)

78.35% (

1.91)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.04% (

-1.55)

23.96% (

1.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.81% (

-2.26)

58.19% (

2.26)

AVS Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.26% (

-0.91)

38.75% (

0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.52% (

-0.88)

75.48% (

0.88)

Score Analysis

Estrela Amadora 48.18%

AVS 25%

Draw 26.81%

Estrela Amadora	Draw	AVS
1-0 @ 13.26% ( 0.59) 2-0 @ 9.48% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.32) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.21) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.49% Total : 48.18%	1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.81) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.81%	0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.52% Total : 25%