Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32

May 5, 2025 at 7.30pm UK

Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave
2 - 0
Estrela Amadora

Clayton (65', 79' pen.), Neto (90+7')
Bakoulas (20'), Vrousai (22'), Clayton (38'), Novais (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Martins Travassos (17'), Kikas (22'), Ruiz (68'), Drame (77'), Varela (90+1'), Pinho (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 3-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, April 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 2-0 Porto
Saturday, April 26 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.

Result
Rio Ave	Draw	Estrela Amadora
45.96% ( 1.3)	26.02% ( -0.45)	28.02% ( -0.86)

Both teams to score 51.18% (

0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.25% (

1.31)

52.75% (

-1.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.62% (

1.11)

74.38% (

-1.11)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.09% (

1.19)

22.91% (

-1.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.32% (

1.72)

56.67% (

-1.72)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.39% (

0.03)

33.6% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.75% (

0.04)

70.25% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Rio Ave 45.95%

Estrela Amadora 28.02%

Draw 26.02%

Rio Ave	Draw	Estrela Amadora
1-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.24) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.95% Total : 45.95%	1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.02%	0-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.44) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.38% Total : 28.02%