Primeira Liga Gameweek 34
May 17, 2025 6.00pm
4
0
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
  • Yanis Begraoui 6' goal
  • Yanis Begraoui 8' goal
  • Andre Lacximicant 20' goal
  • Yanis Begraoui 23' goal
  • Jordan Holsgrove 25' yellowcard
  • Pedro Amaral 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alan Ruiz 25'
  • yellowcard Miguel Lopes 85'

Estoril Praia vs Estrela Amadora - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2025 6.00pm
Moreirense 2 - 2 Estoril
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Yanis Begraoui

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
May 11, 2025 3.30pm
Estrela Amadora 0 - 1 AVS
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Kikas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 39.69%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result

Estoril Praia 39.69% (-0.51)
Draw 27.12% (-0.13)
Estrela Amadora 33.19% (+0.63)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.16% (+0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.86% (+0.61)
Under 2.5 55.14% (-0.62)
Over 3.5 23.61% (+0.50)
Under 3.5 76.38% (-0.51)
Over 4.5 10.49% (+0.31)
Under 4.5 89.51% (-0.32)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5 72.83% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 27.17% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 37.43% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 62.57% (-0.01)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 68.88% (+0.74)
Under 0.5 31.12% (-0.74)
Over 1.5 32.55% (+0.85)
Under 1.5 67.45% (-0.86)

Score analysis

Estoril Praia 39.69%
Draw 27.12%
Estrela Amadora 33.19%
Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 11.01% (-0.26)
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.18% (-0.17)
3-1 @ 3.64% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.12% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.13% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 39.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.86% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 8.45% (-0.21)
2-2 @ 4.89% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.12%
Estrela Amadora
0-1 @ 9.87% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 7.51% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 5.76% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 2.92% (+0.11)
0-3 @ 2.24% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.9% (+0.08)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 33.19%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 17
Jan 5, 2025 8.30pm
2
4
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
  • Tiago Gabriel Coelho Oliveira 48' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Pinho 56' yellowcard
  • Andre Luiz 57' goal
  • Rodrigo Pinho 70' goal
  • goal Xeka 15'
  • goal Yanis Begraoui 25'
  • goal Tiago Gabriel Coelho Oliveira 31' (OG)
  • goal Alejandro Marques 76'
  • yellowcard Alejandro Marques 83'
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 23, 2024 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes da Costa
Primeira Liga Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2024 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
  • Alejandro Marques 38' yellowcard
  • Mateus Fernandes 57' goal
  • Joao Marques 71' yellowcard
  • Mor Ndiaye 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leonel Bucca 79'
  • yellowcard Pedro Sa 85'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2023 8.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
  • Ronaldo Tavares 47' goal
  • Ronald Pereira Martins 87' yellowcard
  • Leo Cordeiro 90'+10' goal
  • goal Joao Marques 67'
  • yellowcard Jordan Holsgrove 87'