Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 68.54%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 12.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.