Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-23s win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Fulham Under-23s had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.36%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Fulham Under-23s win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Newcastle United Under-23s in this match.
