Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Under-23s win with a probability of 40%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.18%) and 2-0 (5.22%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Manchester United Under-23s in this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United Under-23s | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s |
| 40% | 22.97% | 37.02% |
| Both teams to score 65.39% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.24% | 35.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.17% | 57.83% |
| Manchester United Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.54% | 18.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.36% | 49.64% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.19% | 19.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.13% | 51.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United Under-23s | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 8.45% 1-0 @ 6.18% 2-0 @ 5.22% 3-1 @ 4.76% 3-2 @ 3.85% 3-0 @ 2.94% 4-1 @ 2.01% 4-2 @ 1.63% 4-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.72% Total : 40% | 1-1 @ 10% 2-2 @ 6.84% 0-0 @ 3.65% 3-3 @ 2.08% Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.97% | 1-2 @ 8.1% 0-1 @ 5.92% 0-2 @ 4.79% 1-3 @ 4.37% 2-3 @ 3.69% 0-3 @ 2.59% 1-4 @ 1.77% 2-4 @ 1.5% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 3.26% Total : 37.02% |


