Premier League 2 - Div 1 | Gameweek 6
Oct 16, 2021 at 1pm UK
 

Chelsea U23s
2 - 0
Derby U23s

McEachran (90+1'), Fiabema (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dixon (39'), Aghatise (50'), Plange (85')
Hutchinson (81')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Chelsea Under-23s and Derby County Under-23s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County Under-23s win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Chelsea Under-23s had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.02%) and 0-2 (5.22%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Chelsea Under-23sDrawDerby County Under-23s
36.39%22.77%40.85%
Both teams to score 66.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.24%34.77%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.27%56.73%
Chelsea Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.33%19.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.35%51.65%
Derby County Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.33%17.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.7%48.3%
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Under-23s 36.39%
    Derby County Under-23s 40.85%
    Draw 22.77%
Chelsea Under-23sDrawDerby County Under-23s
2-1 @ 7.97%
1-0 @ 5.65%
2-0 @ 4.6%
3-1 @ 4.32%
3-2 @ 3.74%
3-0 @ 2.49%
4-1 @ 1.76%
4-2 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 36.39%
1-1 @ 9.8%
2-2 @ 6.9%
0-0 @ 3.48%
3-3 @ 2.16%
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.77%
1-2 @ 8.49%
0-1 @ 6.02%
0-2 @ 5.22%
1-3 @ 4.9%
2-3 @ 3.99%
0-3 @ 3.02%
1-4 @ 2.13%
2-4 @ 1.73%
0-4 @ 1.31%
3-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 40.85%