World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage

Nov 16, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Monumental

Peru
0 - 0
Chile

Corzo (46'), Corzo (46'), Cartagena (66'), Cartagena (66')

Loyola (45+3'), Loyola (45+3'), Vargas (88'), Vargas (88'), Suazo (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying clash between Peru and Chile, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peru

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Brazil 4-0 Peru
Wednesday, October 16 at 1.45am in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	11	13	22
2	Colombia	10	7	19
3	Ecuador	11	6	19
4	Brazil	11	6	17
5	Uruguay	10	7	16
6	Paraguay	11	1	16
7	Venezuela	11	-2	12
8	Bolivia	11	-14	12
9	Peru	10	-11	6
10	Chile	10	-13	5

Chile

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Colombia 4-0 Chile
Tuesday, October 15 at 9.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	11	13	22
2	Colombia	10	7	19
3	Ecuador	11	6	19
4	Brazil	11	6	17
5	Uruguay	10	7	16
6	Paraguay	11	1	16
7	Venezuela	11	-2	12
8	Bolivia	11	-14	12
9	Peru	10	-11	6
10	Chile	10	-13	5

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peru win with a probability of 39.68%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Chile had a probability of 29.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peru win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.18%) and 2-1 (7.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.01%), while for a Chile win it was 0-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood.

Result
Peru	Draw	Chile
39.68% ( 0.42)	30.97% ( 0.44)	29.35% ( -0.86)

Both teams to score 38.79% (

-1.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

31.39% (

-1.4)

68.61% (

1.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.66% (

-0.93)

86.33% (

0.93)

Peru Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.06% (

-0.49)

33.94% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.39% (

-0.53)

70.61% (

0.53)

Chile Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.71% (

-1.51)

41.29% (

1.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.19% (

-1.36)

77.81% (

1.36)

Score Analysis

Peru 39.68%

Chile 29.35%

Draw 30.96%

Peru	Draw	Chile
1-0 @ 15.14% ( 0.57) 2-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.41% Total : 39.68%	0-0 @ 14.01% ( 0.71) 1-1 @ 13.39% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.36% Total : 30.96%	0-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.24% Total : 29.35%