NIFL Premiership Gameweek 2
Aug 15, 2026 3.00pm
Seaview

Crusaders vs Ballymena United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Aug 7, 2026 7.45pm
Cliftonville 2 - 1 Crusaders

Ballymena United

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Linfield 0 - 3 Ballymena

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Crusaders win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Ballymena United has a probability of 32.23% and a draw has a probability of 25.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Ballymena United win is 0-1 (7.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.33%).

Result

Crusaders 42.59% (-0.75)
Draw 25.18% (+0.02)
Ballymena United 32.23% (+0.73)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.32% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.98% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 22.02% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 55.23% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 44.77% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 34.04% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 65.96% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 20.06% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 79.94% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Crusaders 34.3% (-0.09)
Draw 38.27% (+0.04)
Ballymena United 27.43% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Crusaders 51.5% (-0.07)
No Goal 6.41% (-0.01)
Ballymena United 42.09% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 64.52% (+1.18)
Equal 8 10.53% (-0.06)
Under 8 24.95% (-1.13)
Over 9 53.2% (+1.13)
Equal 9 11.32% (+0.07)
Under 9 35.48% (-1.18)
Over 10.5 42.04% (+0.97)
Under 10.5 57.96% (-0.97)

Crusaders Goals

Over 1.5 44.1% (-0.54)
Under 1.5 55.9% (+0.54)
Over 2.5 20.29% (-0.40)
Under 2.5 79.71% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 7.44% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 92.56% (+0.13)

Ballymena United Goals

Over 0.5 67.8% (+0.47)
Under 0.5 32.2% (-0.47)
Over 1.5 36.08% (+0.62)
Under 1.5 63.92% (-0.63)
Over 2.5 14.69% (+0.42)
Under 2.5 85.31% (-0.43)
Over 3.5 5.36% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 94.64% (-0.18)

Score analysis

Crusaders 42.59%
Draw 25.18%
Ballymena United 32.22%
Crusaders
2-1 @ 8.74% (-0.16)
1-0 @ 8.49% (-0.11)
2-0 @ 6.56% (-0.12)
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.45% (-0.11)
Other @ 7.28% (-0.14)
Total : 42.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.33% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.41% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.95% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.16% (+0.02)
Total : 25.18%
Ballymena United
0-1 @ 7.11% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 7.05% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 4.86% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 3.5% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.56% (+0.11)
0-3 @ 1.94% (+0.09)
Other @ 5.2% (+0.17)
Total : 32.22%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Seaview
  • Finley Thorndike 14' goal
  • Tom Maguire 17' yellowcard
  • Harry Jewitt-White 37' goal
  • yellowcard Daithí McCallion 28'
  • goal Success Edogun 41'
  • yellowcard Matthew Clarke 46'
  • yellowcard Kian Corbally 46'
  • goal Success Edogun 58'
  • yellowcard Edward Zenteno 62'
NIFL Premiership
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • Igor Rutkowski 54' goal
  • Igor Rutkowski 84' yellowcard
  • Dean Ebbe 89' yellowcard
  • Dean Ebbe 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Elliot Dunlop 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Evan Easton 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Adam Brooks 64'
  • yellowcard Finley Thorndike 64'
NIFL Premiership
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership
Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 29
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Seaview
  • Conor Barr 13' goal
  • 14' yellowcard
  • Jacob Blaney 21' goal
  • Lewis Barr 29' yellowcard
  • Philip Lowry 33' yellowcard
  • Mal Smith 51' yellowcard
  • Jordan Forsythe 60' yellowcard
  • 76' yellowcard
  • Jordan Stewart 86' yellowcard
  • Jarlath O'Rourke 90' goal
  • Harry Franklin 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Patrick McEleney 23'
  • yellowcard Success Edogun 31'
  • yellowcard Caolan Loughran 90'+2'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Seaview
  • Ross Clarke 53' yellowcard
  • Kieran Offord 65' goal
  • Robbie Weir 88' yellowcard
  • Harry Franklin 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan McMurray 20'
  • yellowcard Andrew Scott 31'
  • yellowcard Kym Nelson 77'