Club Friendlies 3
Jul 21, 2026 7.45pm
Seaview

Crusaders vs Glenavon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 2.00pm
Crusaders 0 - 0 Ballinamallard United

Glenavon

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 16, 2026 7.30pm
Glenavon 0 - 5 Doncaster

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Crusaders win with a probability of 51.11%. A win for Glenavon has a probability of 25.1% and a draw has a probability of 23.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Glenavon win is 1-2 (6.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.8%).

Result

Crusaders 51.11% (+0.15)
Draw 23.79% (-0.04)
Glenavon 25.1% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.08% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.86% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 22.14% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 55.04% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 44.96% (+0.17)
Over 3.5 32.7% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 67.3% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 19.45% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 80.55% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Crusaders 38.38% (-0.01)
Draw 38.84% (-0.05)
Glenavon 22.77% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Crusaders 57.61%
No Goal 6.4% (+0.03)
Glenavon 35.99% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 65.69% (+0.07)
Equal 8 10.78% (-0.01)
Under 8 23.52% (-0.08)
Over 9 53.95% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.75% (+0.01)
Under 9 34.31% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 42.29% (+0.07)
Under 10.5 57.71% (-0.07)

Crusaders Goals

Over 1.5 50.22% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 49.78% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 24.49% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 75.51% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 9.71% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 90.29% (-0.01)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5 61.18% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 38.82% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 28.98% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 71.02% (+0.21)
Over 2.5 10.24% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 89.76% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 3.09% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 96.91% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Crusaders 51.11%
Draw 23.79%
Glenavon 25.1%
Crusaders
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 9.61% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 8.36% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 5.42% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.79%
3-2 @ 3.42% (+0.01)
Other @ 9.66% (+0.03)
Total : 51.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.8% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.4% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.05% (-0.03)
Total : 23.79%
Glenavon
1-2 @ 6.26% (-0.07)
0-1 @ 6.13% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.67% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.43% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.04% (-0.03)
Total : 25.1%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mourneview Park
  • goal Fraser Bryden 53'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 32
Mar 14, 2026 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Seaview
  • goal Paddy Burns 60'
  • goal Luke McGerrigan 64'
  • goal Conor Falls 77'
NIFL Premiership
Nov 15, 2025 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership
Sep 27, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 30
Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Mourneview Park
  • David McDaid 42' yellowcard
  • Michael O'Connor 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robbie Weir 25'
  • goal Daniel Larmour 44'
  • yellowcard Jarlath O'Rourke 56'
  • yellowcard Daniel Larmour 90'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 20
Dec 17, 2024 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 2
FT Mourneview Park
  • Mark Haughey 28' yellowcard
  • Michael O'Connor 38' yellowcard
  • Michael O'Connor 43' goal
  • Peter Campbell 62' goal
  • Jack Malone 65' yellowcard
  • David McDaid 73' goal
  • yellowcard Jacob Blaney 12'
  • goal 19'
  • goal Philip Lowry 19'
  • yellowcard Ross Clarke 55'
  • yellowcard Jordan Owens 87'