NIFL Premiership Gameweek 5
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
Seaview

Crusaders vs Ballymena United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Crusaders

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Glenavon 0 - 1 Crusaders
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Fraser Bryden

Ballymena United

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Ballymena 1 - 2 Portadown
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Igor Rutkowski

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Crusaders win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Ballymena United has a probability of 30.97% and a draw has a probability of 25.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Ballymena United win is 1-2 (7.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.13%).

Result

Crusaders 43.11%
Draw 25.92%
Ballymena United 30.97%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.08%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.22%
Under 1.5 21.78%
Over 2.5 54.73%
Under 2.5 45.27%
Over 3.5 32.76%
Under 3.5 67.24%
Over 4.5 18.74%
Under 4.5 81.26%

First Half Winner

Crusaders 33.8%
Draw 40.96%
Ballymena United 25.24%

Team To Score First

Crusaders 54.01%
No Goal 5.73%
Ballymena United 40.26%

Corners

Over 8 60.29%
Equal 8 11.12%
Under 8 28.58%
Over 9 48.73%
Equal 9 11.56%
Under 9 39.71%
Over 10.5 37.71%
Under 10.5 62.29%

Crusaders Goals

Over 1.5 44.89%
Under 1.5 55.11%
Over 2.5 20.22%
Under 2.5 79.78%
Over 3.5 7.5%
Under 3.5 92.5%

Ballymena United Goals

Over 0.5 67.54%
Under 0.5 32.46%
Over 1.5 34.99%
Under 1.5 65.01%
Over 2.5 13.53%
Under 2.5 86.47%
Over 3.5 4.26%
Under 3.5 95.74%

Score analysis

Crusaders 43.12%
Draw 25.93%
Ballymena United 30.96%
Crusaders
1-0 @ 8.93%
2-1 @ 8.79%
2-0 @ 6.88%
3-1 @ 4.5%
3-0 @ 3.65%
3-2 @ 3.09%
Other @ 7.28%
Total : 43.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.13%
2-2 @ 6.37%
0-0 @ 5.73%
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 25.93%
Ballymena United
1-2 @ 7.52%
0-1 @ 7.13%
0-2 @ 4.48%
1-3 @ 3.16%
2-3 @ 2.63%
0-3 @ 2%
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 30.96%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership
Feb 17, 2026 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • Igor Rutkowski 54' goal
  • Igor Rutkowski 84' yellowcard
  • Dean Ebbe 89' yellowcard
  • Dean Ebbe 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Elliot Dunlop 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Evan Easton 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Adam Brooks 64'
  • yellowcard Finley Thorndike 64'
NIFL Premiership
Nov 22, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership
Sep 20, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 29
Feb 15, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Seaview
  • Conor Barr 13' goal
  • 14' yellowcard
  • Jacob Blaney 21' goal
  • Lewis Barr 29' yellowcard
  • Philip Lowry 33' yellowcard
  • Mal Smith 51' yellowcard
  • Jordan Forsythe 60' yellowcard
  • 76' yellowcard
  • Jordan Stewart 86' yellowcard
  • Jarlath O'Rourke 90' goal
  • Harry Franklin 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Patrick McEleney 23'
  • yellowcard Success Edogun 31'
  • yellowcard Caolan Loughran 90'+2'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 14
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Seaview
  • Ross Clarke 53' yellowcard
  • Kieran Offord 65' goal
  • Robbie Weir 88' yellowcard
  • Harry Franklin 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan McMurray 20'
  • yellowcard Andrew Scott 31'
  • yellowcard Kym Nelson 77'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Showgrounds
  • Stephen O'Donnell 31' yellowcard
  • Jonathan McMurray 47' yellowcard
  • goal Kieran Offord 5'
  • yellowcard Robbie Weir 19'
  • yellowcard Daniel Larmour 76'