Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 50.67%. A draw had a probability of 26.31% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 23.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%) , while for a Portadown win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.