NIFL Premiership Gameweek 1
Aug 8, 2026 3.00pm
Windsor Park

Linfield vs Ballymena United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Linfield

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
May 12, 2026 7.45pm
Linfield 3 - 1 Dungannon

Ballymena United

All competitions
NIFL Premiership
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
Crusaders 3 - 2 Ballymena

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ballymena United win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Linfield has a probability of 36.14% and a draw has a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (5.64%). The likeliest Linfield win is 2-1 (7.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.56%).

Result

Linfield 36.14% (+0.47)
Draw 25.1% (+0.30)
Ballymena United 38.76% (-0.75)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.86% (-0.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.19% (-0.49)
Under 1.5 21.81% (+0.49)
Over 2.5 55.58% (-0.67)
Under 2.5 44.42% (+0.67)
Over 3.5 33.5% (-0.64)
Under 3.5 66.5% (+0.63)
Over 4.5 19.27% (-0.52)
Under 4.5 80.73% (+0.52)

First Half Winner

Linfield 28.1% (-0.05)
Draw 40.31% (+0.16)
Ballymena United 31.59% (-0.11)

Team To Score First

Linfield 44.73% (-0.07)
No Goal 5.75% (+0.14)
Ballymena United 49.52% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 64.98% (-0.21)
Equal 8 10.32% (+0.04)
Under 8 24.7% (+0.17)
Over 9 53.86% (-0.22)
Equal 9 11.13% (+0.03)
Under 9 35.02% (+0.22)
Over 10.5 42.83% (-0.22)
Under 10.5 57.17% (+0.22)

Linfield Goals

Over 1.5 38.92% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 61.08% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 16.48% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 83.52% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 5.5% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.5% (-0.02)

Ballymena United Goals

Over 0.5 73.05% (-0.50)
Under 0.5 26.95% (+0.50)
Over 1.5 41.4% (-0.96)
Under 1.5 58.6% (+0.96)
Over 2.5 17.72% (-0.71)
Under 2.5 82.28% (+0.71)
Over 3.5 6.66% (-0.42)
Under 3.5 93.34% (+0.41)

Score analysis

Linfield 36.13%
Draw 25.1%
Ballymena United 38.75%
Linfield
2-1 @ 7.99% (+0.11)
1-0 @ 7.83% (+0.21)
2-0 @ 5.42% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 3.89% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.62% (+0.05)
Other @ 5.31% (+0.01)
Total : 36.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56% (+0.20)
2-2 @ 6.2% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.75% (+0.14)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19% (+0.02)
Total : 25.1%
Ballymena United
1-2 @ 8.77% (-0.08)
0-1 @ 8.21% (+0.14)
0-2 @ 5.64% (-0.12)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.12)
2-3 @ 2.83% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.7% (-0.10)
Other @ 6.47% (-0.42)
Total : 38.75%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Windsor Park
  • Matty Yates 11' goal
  • Kirk Millar 68' yellowcard
  • Sam Taylor 73' yellowcard
  • Shane McEleney 90' goal
  • goal Igor Rutkowski 53'
  • yellowcard Joel Thompson 68'
  • yellowcard Danny Lafferty 75'
  • yellowcard 79'
NIFL Premiership
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership
Sep 16, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 28
Feb 7, 2025 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT The Showgrounds
  • Donal Rocks 25' goal
  • Andrew Scott 68' yellowcard
  • Jonathan McMurray 81' yellowcard
  • Caolan Loughran 90' yellowcard
  • Patrick McEleney 90'+2' goal
  • 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Matt Fitzpatrick 12'
  • yellowcard Chris McKee 90'+1'
  • goal Kyle McClean 90'+11'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 16
Nov 9, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Windsor Park
  • Rhys Annett 78' goal
  • Rhys Annett 90' goal
  • Joel Cooper 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Stephen O'Donnell 54'
  • yellowcard Jonathan McMurray 58'
  • redcard Stephen O'Donnell 68'
  • yellowcard Sean Brown 80'
  • yellowcard Sean Brown 86'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 1
Aug 10, 2024 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • Stephen O'Donnell 2' yellowcard
  • Josh Carson 18' yellowcard
  • Ben Kennedy 59' yellowcard
  • Caolan Loughran 66' yellowcard
  • Aaron Jarvis 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chris Shields 50'
  • goal Chris McKee 55'
  • goal Chris Shields 82'