Conference League
Jul 16, 2026 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Windsor Park
  • Ethan McGee 11' goal
  • Matthew Fitzpatrick 12' yellowcard
  • Ethan McGee 26' redcard
  • Kieran Offord 49' goal
  • Ryan Nolan 65' yellowcard
  • goal Oleksandr Musolitin 27'
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Musolitin 62'
  • goal Mihhail Orlov 90'+2'

Linfield vs Nomme Kalju - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Linfield

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 9, 2026 5.00pm
Nomme Kalju 1 - 0 Linfield

Nomme Kalju

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 9, 2026 5.00pm
Nomme Kalju 1 - 0 Linfield

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nomme Kalju win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nomme Kalju win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Linfield win was 1-0 (7.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result

Linfield 34.46% (+0.11)
Draw 22.34% (-0.09)
Nomme Kalju 43.2% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.21% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.7% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 21.3% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 56.55% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 43.45% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 33.75% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 66.25% (-0.13)
Over 4.5 20.72% (+0.10)
Under 4.5 79.28% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Linfield 22.98% (+0.18)
Draw 35.03% (-0.19)
Nomme Kalju 41.99% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Linfield 35.81% (-0.09)
No Goal 5.47% (-0.07)
Nomme Kalju 58.72% (+0.15)

Corners

Over 8 66.41% (+0.15)
Equal 8 10.13% (-0.02)
Under 8 23.45% (-0.13)
Over 9 55.36% (+0.15)
Equal 9 11.05%
Under 9 33.59% (-0.14)
Over 10.5 44.3% (+0.13)
Under 10.5 55.7% (-0.13)

Linfield Goals

Over 1.5 36.35% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 63.65% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 15.26% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 84.74% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 5.19% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.81% (-0.04)

Nomme Kalju Goals

Over 0.5 73.41% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 26.59% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 43.97% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 56.03% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 21.59% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 78.41% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 9.05% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 90.95% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Linfield 34.46%
Draw 22.34%
Nomme Kalju 43.2%
Linfield
1-0 @ 7.66% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 7.39% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.52% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.54% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.91% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.41% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.03% (+0.05)
Total : 34.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.34% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.47% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.16% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16% (-0.02)
Total : 22.34%
Nomme Kalju
1-2 @ 8.53% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.06)
0-2 @ 6.28% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.34% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.97%
2-3 @ 3.02% (-0.03)
Other @ 8.89% (+0.09)
Total : 43.2%

Head to Head

Conference League
Jul 9, 2026 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pärnu Rannastaadion
  • Roko Vukušić 47' goal
  • yellowcard Chris Shields 81'