Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nomme Kalju win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Paide had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nomme Kalju win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 1-3 (5.92%). The likeliest Paide win was 2-1 (8.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.