Club Friendlies 3
Feb 14, 2026 10.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Paide linnastaadion
  • Gerdo Juhkam 2' goal
  • 56' yellowcard
  • Kristofer Piht 56' yellowcard
  • goal Mihhail Orlov 85'

Paide vs Nomme Kalju - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Paide

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 11.00am
Trans 1 - 1 Paide

Nomme Kalju

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Feb 11, 2026 9.00am
Nomme Kalju 2 - 2 Tukums

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nomme Kalju win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Paide had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nomme Kalju win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.54%) and 1-3 (5.92%). The likeliest Paide win was 2-1 (8.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result

Paide 32.25% (+0.05)
Draw 23.23%
Nomme Kalju 44.57%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.91% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.33% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 17.67% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 61.97% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 38.03% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 39.17%
Under 3.5 60.83%
Over 4.5 23.16%
Under 4.5 76.84%

First Half Winner

Paide 32.5%
Draw 34.76%
Nomme Kalju 32.73%

Team To Score First

Paide 46.56% (+0.18)
No Goal 4.59% (-0.01)
Nomme Kalju 48.85% (-0.18)

Corners

Over 8 67.19%
Equal 8 9.25%
Under 8 23.56%
Over 9 57.05%
Equal 9 10.14%
Under 9 32.81%
Over 10.5 46.76%
Under 10.5 53.24%

Paide Goals

Over 1.5 38.98% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 61.02% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 15.9% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 84.1% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 5.49% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.51% (-0.01)

Nomme Kalju Goals

Over 0.5 78.27%
Under 0.5 21.73%
Over 1.5 48.78% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 51.22% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 24.05% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 75.95% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 9.15% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 90.85% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Paide 32.25%
Draw 23.23%
Nomme Kalju 44.56%
Paide
2-1 @ 8.09% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 5.58%
2-0 @ 4.55% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.59%
3-2 @ 3.39%
3-0 @ 1.9% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.15% (+0.02)
Total : 32.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.27% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.5%
0-0 @ 4.59% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.53%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.23%
Nomme Kalju
1-2 @ 9.3% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 7.54% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.92% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.54% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.94%
0-3 @ 3.51% (+0.01)
Other @ 8.81% (-0.01)
Total : 44.56%