Club Friendlies 3
Jan 19, 2026 12.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadions Daugava
  • 18' goal
  • Bruno Melnis 18' goal
  • 48' goal
  • Kyvon Leidsman 48' goal
  • 84' goal
  • Abiodun Ogunniyi 84' goal
  • goal 58'
  • yellowcard Abdourahman Badamosi 58'

FK Liepaja vs Paide - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FK Liepaja

All competitions

Paide

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 14, 2026 4.30pm
Paide 5 - 1 Tartu Welco

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paide win with a probability of 53.42%. A win for FK Liepaja had a probability of 24.51% and a draw had a probability of 22.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paide win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.05%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest FK Liepaja win was 2-1 (5.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result

FK Liepaja 24.51% (-0.74)
Draw 22.08% (-0.07)
Paide 53.42% (+0.82)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.87% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.47%
Under 1.5 19.53%
Over 2.5 59.2% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 40.81% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 37.58% (+0.49)
Under 3.5 62.42% (-0.49)
Over 4.5 23.04% (+0.33)
Under 4.5 76.96% (-0.34)

First Half Winner

FK Liepaja 21.59% (+0.31)
Draw 34.19% (+0.84)
Paide 44.22% (-1.15)

Team To Score First

FK Liepaja 37.82% (-0.04)
No Goal 4.71% (-0.05)
Paide 57.47% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 62.7% (-0.06)
Equal 8 10.3%
Under 8 27% (+0.06)
Over 9 51.8% (-0.07)
Equal 9 10.9%
Under 9 37.3% (+0.06)
Over 10.5 41.15% (-0.07)
Under 10.5 58.85% (+0.07)

FK Liepaja Goals

Over 1.5 29.94% (-0.45)
Under 1.5 70.06% (+0.46)
Over 2.5 10.81% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 89.19% (+0.32)
Over 3.5 3.4% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 96.6% (+0.04)

Paide Goals

Over 0.5 81.44% (+0.49)
Under 0.5 18.56% (-0.50)
Over 1.5 53.99% (+0.68)
Under 1.5 46.01% (-0.68)
Over 2.5 28.11% (+0.59)
Under 2.5 71.89% (-0.60)
Over 3.5 12.38% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 87.62% (-0.21)

Score analysis

FK Liepaja 24.5%
Draw 22.07%
Paide 53.41%
FK Liepaja
2-1 @ 5.86% (-0.22)
1-0 @ 5.75% (-0.10)
2-0 @ 3.54% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 2.65% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.18% (-0.23)
Other @ 3.36% (-0.05)
Total : 24.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.89% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.01%
0-0 @ 4.71% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.42% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.04% (+0.02)
Total : 22.07%
Paide
1-2 @ 9.84% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 9.05% (+0.14)
0-2 @ 7.87% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 5.86% (+0.19)
0-3 @ 4.73% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.72% (+0.19)
Other @ 12.34% (+0.20)
Total : 53.41%