Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paide win with a probability of 57.5%. A win for Tartu Welco had a probability of 22.09% and a draw had a probability of 20.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paide win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.83%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Tartu Welco win was 1-2 (6.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.24%).