Club Friendlies 3
Aug 1, 2026 3.00pm
Mourneview Park

Glenavon vs Ballymena United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Glenavon

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 7.30pm
Crusaders 2 - 0 Glenavon

Ballymena United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 2.00pm
Portstewart 1 - 5 Ballymena

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ballymena United win with a probability of 59.19%. A draw has a probability of 20.88% and a win for Glenavon has a probability of 19.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win is 0-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.73%) and 1-2 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.64%) , while for a Glenavon win it is 2-1 (5.14%).

Result

Glenavon 19.93% (-0.13)
Draw 20.88% (+0.08)
Ballymena United 59.19% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.38% (-0.19)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.38% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 19.62% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 59.67% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 40.33% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 38.23% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 61.77% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 25.48% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 74.52% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Glenavon 17.97% (-0.18)
Draw 34.78% (-0.12)
Ballymena United 47.25% (+0.30)

Team To Score First

Glenavon 29.77% (-0.11)
No Goal 5.93% (+0.05)
Ballymena United 64.3% (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 55.24% (-0.18)
Equal 8 11.46% (+0.02)
Under 8 33.3% (+0.17)
Over 9 43.79% (-0.18)
Equal 9 11.45%
Under 9 44.76% (+0.18)
Over 10.5 33.26% (-0.18)
Under 10.5 66.74% (+0.18)

Glenavon Goals

Over 1.5 24.38% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 75.62% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 8.09% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 91.91% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 2.29% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.71% (+0.02)

Ballymena United Goals

Over 0.5 82.7% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 17.3% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 58.56% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 41.44% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 34.08% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 65.92% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 17.36% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 82.64% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Glenavon 19.93%
Draw 20.89%
Ballymena United 59.19%
Glenavon
2-1 @ 5.14% (-0.06)
1-0 @ 4.97% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.92% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.78%
3-1 @ 1.63% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.32% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.17% (-0.04)
Total : 19.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.64% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.93% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.07% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.12% (+0.01)
Total : 20.89%
Ballymena United
0-2 @ 9.14%
0-1 @ 8.73% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 8.43% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 6.56% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 5.99% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.1% (-0.03)
Other @ 17.24% (+0.03)
Total : 59.19%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 2
Apr 7, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • Success Edogun 32' goal
  • Calvin McCurry 61' yellowcard
  • Dean Ebbe 71' yellowcard
  • Dean Ebbe 72' yellowcard
  • Patrick McEleney 72' yellowcard
  • goal Conor Falls 47'
  • yellowcard Sean Carlin 63'
  • yellowcard Charlie Lindsay 68'
  • yellowcard Mikey Harkin 77'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 24
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
The Showgrounds
NIFL Premiership
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jack Malone 12' goal
  • 64' yellowcard
  • M. Clarke 64' yellowcard
  • 86' yellowcard
  • David McDaid 89' goal
  • Peter Campbell 90'+3' goal
  • goal Success Edogun 5'
  • yellowcard 22'
  • yellowcard J. Hood 22'
  • yellowcard 89'
  • yellowcard S. O'Neill 89'
NIFL Premiership
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 4
Apr 19, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mourneview Park
  • Peter Campbell 60' goal
  • Luke McGerrigan 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard James Hood 50'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 24
Dec 30, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • Kym Nelson 67' yellowcard
  • Donal Rocks 71' yellowcard
  • Sean Brown 84' redcard
  • Kym Nelson 90' redcard
  • Kym Nelson 90' redcard
  • yellowcard Barney McKeown 27'
  • goal Peter Campbell 55'
  • yellowcard Aaron Jarvis 64'
  • goal David McDaid 68'
  • yellowcard Andrew Scott 83'