Club Friendlies 3
Aug 1, 2026 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Mourneview Park
  • Ryan Waide 35' goal

Glenavon vs Ballymena United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Glenavon

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 7.30pm
Crusaders 2 - 0 Glenavon

Ballymena United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 1, 2026 12.30pm
Annagh United 2 - 2 Ballymena

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 59.26%. A draw had a probability of 20.82% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 19.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 1-2 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%) , while for a Glenavon win it was 2-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result

Glenavon 19.97% (+0.04)
Draw 20.82% (-0.06)
Ballymena United 59.26% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.51% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.5% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 19.5% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 59.82% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 40.18% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 38.25% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 61.75% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 25.48%
Under 4.5 74.52%

First Half Winner

Glenavon 17.99% (+0.02)
Draw 34.84% (+0.07)
Ballymena United 47.17% (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Glenavon 29.72% (-0.06)
No Goal 5.88% (-0.05)
Ballymena United 64.4% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 55.32% (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.44% (-0.03)
Under 8 33.24% (-0.06)
Over 9 43.88% (+0.10)
Equal 9 11.44% (-0.01)
Under 9 44.68% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 33.36% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 66.64% (-0.10)

Glenavon Goals

Over 1.5 24.46% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 75.54% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 8.12% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 91.88% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.29%
Under 3.5 97.71%

Ballymena United Goals

Over 0.5 82.77% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 17.23% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 58.61% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 41.39% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 34.07% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 65.93% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 17.34% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 82.66% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Glenavon 19.98%
Draw 20.81%
Ballymena United 59.25%
Glenavon
2-1 @ 5.18% (+0.05)
1-0 @ 4.94% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 2.91% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78%
3-1 @ 1.63%
3-0 @ 1.36% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.18% (+0.02)
Total : 19.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.63% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.88% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.13%
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.11% (-0.01)
Total : 20.81%
Ballymena United
0-2 @ 9.15% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.72% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.48% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 6.55% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.12% (+0.03)
Other @ 17.23% (-0.01)
Total : 59.25%

Head to Head

NIFL Premiership Gameweek 2
Apr 7, 2026 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • Success Edogun 32' goal
  • Calvin McCurry 61' yellowcard
  • Dean Ebbe 71' yellowcard
  • Dean Ebbe 72' yellowcard
  • Patrick McEleney 72' yellowcard
  • goal Conor Falls 47'
  • yellowcard Sean Carlin 63'
  • yellowcard Charlie Lindsay 68'
  • yellowcard Mikey Harkin 77'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 24
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
The Showgrounds
NIFL Premiership
Nov 29, 2025 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jack Malone 12' goal
  • 64' yellowcard
  • M. Clarke 64' yellowcard
  • 86' yellowcard
  • David McDaid 89' goal
  • Peter Campbell 90'+3' goal
  • goal Success Edogun 5'
  • yellowcard 22'
  • yellowcard J. Hood 22'
  • yellowcard 89'
  • yellowcard S. O'Neill 89'
NIFL Premiership
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 4
Apr 19, 2025 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mourneview Park
  • Peter Campbell 60' goal
  • Luke McGerrigan 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard James Hood 50'
NIFL Premiership Gameweek 24
Dec 30, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • Kym Nelson 67' yellowcard
  • Donal Rocks 71' yellowcard
  • Sean Brown 84' redcard
  • Kym Nelson 90' redcard
  • Kym Nelson 90' redcard
  • yellowcard Barney McKeown 27'
  • goal Peter Campbell 55'
  • yellowcard Aaron Jarvis 64'
  • goal David McDaid 68'
  • yellowcard Andrew Scott 83'