Club Friendlies 3
Jul 25, 2026 2.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Mill Meadow
  • David Parkhouse 10' goal
  • 71' goal
  • goal 87'

Moyola Park vs Crusaders - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Moyola Park

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 18, 2026 3.00pm
Moyola Park 1 - 2 Bangor

Crusaders

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 7.30pm
Crusaders 2 - 0 Glenavon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Moyola Park had a probability of 36.77% and a draw had a probability of 20.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.3%) and 0-2 (5.29%). The likeliest Moyola Park win was 2-1 (6.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result

Moyola Park 36.77% (-0.52)
Draw 20.95% (+0.11)
Crusaders 42.27% (+0.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.58% (-0.40)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.94% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 16.06% (+0.26)
Over 2.5 65.98% (-0.46)
Under 2.5 34.02% (+0.47)
Over 3.5 45.36% (-0.72)
Under 3.5 54.64% (+0.72)
Over 4.5 30.49% (-0.59)
Under 4.5 69.51% (+0.60)

First Half Winner

Moyola Park 31.1% (-0.17)
Draw 39.02% (+0.17)
Crusaders 29.88%

Team To Score First

Moyola Park 45.06% (-0.25)
No Goal 4.58% (+0.16)
Crusaders 50.36% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 56.92% (+0.04)
Equal 8 11.13%
Under 8 31.95% (-0.04)
Over 9 45.7% (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.22% (+0.01)
Under 9 43.08% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 35.28% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 64.72% (-0.02)

Moyola Park Goals

Over 1.5 43.8% (-0.67)
Under 1.5 56.2% (+0.67)
Over 2.5 22.94% (-0.60)
Under 2.5 77.06% (+0.61)
Over 3.5 10.99% (-0.35)
Under 3.5 89.01% (+0.36)

Crusaders Goals

Over 0.5 72.93% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 27.07% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 47.49% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 52.51% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 24.82% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 75.18% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 10.23% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 89.77% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Moyola Park 36.78%
Draw 20.97%
Crusaders 42.28%
Moyola Park
2-1 @ 6.57% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 5.21% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 4.23% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.15% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.54% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.02)
Other @ 10.64% (-0.34)
Total : 36.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.42% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.8% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.58% (+0.16)
3-3 @ 1.82% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.35% (-0.02)
Total : 20.97%
Crusaders
1-2 @ 8.04% (+0.13)
0-1 @ 6.3% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 5.29% (+0.12)
1-3 @ 4.93% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 4.26% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.58% (+0.13)
Other @ 9.88% (-0.09)
Total : 42.28%