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Scotland national football team
Nations League | League B
Oct 11, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Hampden Park
Slovakia national football team

Scotland
1 - 0
Slovakia

Dykes (54')
Dykes (38'), Fleck (50'), Robertson (74'), McBurnie (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Hamsik (21'), Haraslin (51'), Kucka (83')

The Match

Match Report

Lyndon Dykes converted Stephen O'Donnell's cross in the 54th minute to stay one point ahead of the Czech Republic.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's UEFA Nations League clash between Scotland and Slovakia, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Slovakia had a probability of 18.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Slovakia win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Scotland in this match.

Result
ScotlandDrawSlovakia
59.24%21.81%18.96%
Both teams to score 53.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.96%44.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.57%66.43%
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.5%14.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.49%42.52%
Slovakia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.97%37.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.18%73.82%
Score Analysis
    Scotland 59.24%
    Slovakia 18.96%
    Draw 21.8%
ScotlandDrawSlovakia
1-0 @ 10.37%
2-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 6.44%
3-1 @ 6.4%
3-2 @ 3.18%
4-0 @ 3.11%
4-1 @ 3.09%
4-2 @ 1.53%
5-0 @ 1.2%
5-1 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 59.24%
1-1 @ 10.3%
0-0 @ 5.37%
2-2 @ 4.94%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.8%
0-1 @ 5.34%
1-2 @ 5.12%
0-2 @ 2.65%
1-3 @ 1.69%
2-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 18.96%

Head to Head
Oct 5, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Scotland
1-0
Slovakia
Skrtel (89' og.)
Oct 11, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
3-0
Scotland
Mak (18', 56'), Nemec (68')
rhs 2.0
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4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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