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UEFA Nations League

Portugal national football team
Nations League | League A
Oct 14, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
 
Sweden national football team

Portugal
3 - 0
Sweden

Silva (21'), Jota (44', 72')
Jota (52'), Fernandes (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ekdal (36'), Olsson (57'), Jansson (62'), Andersson (72'), Berg (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's UEFA Nations League clash between Portugal and Sweden, including team news and predicted lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Portugal could line up for their UEFA Nations League showdown with Sweden on Wednesday evening.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 55.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 20.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Sweden win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
PortugalDrawSweden
55.94%23.68%20.39%
Both teams to score 50.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50%50%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.02%71.98%
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29%17.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.63%48.37%
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.05%38.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.32%75.68%
Score Analysis
    Portugal 55.93%
    Sweden 20.39%
    Draw 23.67%
PortugalDrawSweden
1-0 @ 11.94%
2-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 9.75%
3-0 @ 5.96%
3-1 @ 5.62%
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-0 @ 2.58%
4-1 @ 2.43%
4-2 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 55.93%
1-1 @ 11.25%
0-0 @ 6.9%
2-2 @ 4.6%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 23.67%
0-1 @ 6.5%
1-2 @ 5.31%
0-2 @ 3.07%
1-3 @ 1.67%
2-3 @ 1.44%
0-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 20.39%