UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League

Norway national football team
Nations League | League B
Oct 14, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Ullevaal Stadion
Northern Ireland national football team

Norway
1 - 0
Northern Ireland

Dallas (68' og.)
King (62'), Elyounoussi (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Match Report

It was a seventh defeat in eight for Northern Ireland in this competition.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's UEFA Nations League clash between Norway and Northern Ireland, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 64.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 13.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.32%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Norway in this match.

Result
NorwayDrawNorthern Ireland
64.75%21.72%13.52%
Both teams to score 42.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.95%53.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.36%74.64%
Norway Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.27%15.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.18%44.82%
Northern Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.47%49.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.67%84.33%
Score Analysis
    Norway 64.75%
    Northern Ireland 13.53%
    Draw 21.72%
NorwayDrawNorthern Ireland
1-0 @ 14.41%
2-0 @ 13.32%
2-1 @ 9.36%
3-0 @ 8.22%
3-1 @ 5.77%
4-0 @ 3.8%
4-1 @ 2.67%
3-2 @ 2.03%
5-0 @ 1.41%
5-1 @ 0.99%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 64.75%
1-1 @ 10.12%
0-0 @ 7.79%
2-2 @ 3.29%
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 21.72%
0-1 @ 5.47%
1-2 @ 3.56%
0-2 @ 1.92%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 13.53%