MX23RW : Sunday, December 15 00:22:01| >> :600:206612:206612:
Northern Ireland national football team
Nations League | League B
Sep 7, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Windsor Park
Norway national football team

Northern Ireland
1 - 5
Norway

McNair (6')
Ballard (36'), Cathcart (69')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Elyounoussi (2'), Braut Haaland (7', 58'), Sorloth (19', 47')
Meling (90+3')

The Match

Match Report

Paddy McNair's fifth-minute equaliser was only a temporary reprieve for the hosts in Belfast.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's UEFA Nations League fixture between Northern Ireland and Norway, including team news and injury news.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 62.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 14.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.95%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 1-0 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.

Result
Northern IrelandDrawNorway
14.63%22.52%62.86%
Both teams to score 42.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46%54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.56%75.44%
Northern Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.55%48.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.44%83.56%
Norway Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.31%16.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.42%46.58%
Score Analysis
    Northern Ireland 14.63%
    Norway 62.84%
    Draw 22.51%
Northern IrelandDrawNorway
1-0 @ 5.86%
2-1 @ 3.8%
2-0 @ 2.12%
3-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 14.63%
1-1 @ 10.49%
0-0 @ 8.09%
2-2 @ 3.4%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 22.51%
0-1 @ 14.47%
0-2 @ 12.95%
1-2 @ 9.39%
0-3 @ 7.73%
1-3 @ 5.6%
0-4 @ 3.46%
1-4 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 2.03%
0-5 @ 1.24%
2-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 62.84%

Head to Head
Oct 8, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Norway
1-0
N. Ireland
Brunt (71' og.)
Mar 26, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
N. Ireland
2-0
Norway
Ward (2'), Washington (33')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City158342721627
6Aston Villa167452425-125
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Fulham166642422224
10Brentford157263128323
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton153661421-715
16Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1512121131-205


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