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UEFA Nations League

Northern Ireland national football team
Nations League | League B
Sep 7, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Windsor Park
Norway national football team

Northern Ireland
1 - 5
Norway

McNair (6')
Ballard (36'), Cathcart (69')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Elyounoussi (2'), Braut Haaland (7', 58'), Sorloth (19', 47')
Meling (90+3')

The Match

Match Report

Paddy McNair's fifth-minute equaliser was only a temporary reprieve for the hosts in Belfast.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's UEFA Nations League fixture between Northern Ireland and Norway, including team news and injury news.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 62.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 14.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.95%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 1-0 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.

Result
Northern IrelandDrawNorway
14.63%22.52%62.86%
Both teams to score 42.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46%54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.56%75.44%
Northern Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.55%48.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.44%83.56%
Norway Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.31%16.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.42%46.58%
Score Analysis
    Northern Ireland 14.63%
    Norway 62.84%
    Draw 22.51%
Northern IrelandDrawNorway
1-0 @ 5.86%
2-1 @ 3.8%
2-0 @ 2.12%
3-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 14.63%
1-1 @ 10.49%
0-0 @ 8.09%
2-2 @ 3.4%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 22.51%
0-1 @ 14.47%
0-2 @ 12.95%
1-2 @ 9.39%
0-3 @ 7.73%
1-3 @ 5.6%
0-4 @ 3.46%
1-4 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 2.03%
0-5 @ 1.24%
2-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 62.84%