Lithuania

2 - 2

Belarus

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belarus win with a probability of 58.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 18.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.71%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Lithuania win it was 1-0 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.