National League South | Gameweek 17
Nov 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Hardenhuish Park

Chippenham
2 - 1
Farnborough

D. (14'), Bradbury (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Folivi (60')
Pruti (71')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chippenham Town and Farnborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chippenham 4-2 Eastbourne
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 4-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 59.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 18.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.96%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Chippenham Town win it was 1-0 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Chippenham TownDrawFarnborough Town
18.83% (0.067 0.07)21.62% (0.032 0.03)59.55% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 54.2% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.55% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)43.45% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.16% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)65.84% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Chippenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.18% (0.051000000000002 0.05)36.82% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.39% (0.047000000000001 0.05)73.61% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.79% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)14.21% (0.045 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.06% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)41.94% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Chippenham Town 18.83%
    Farnborough Town 59.55%
    Draw 21.62%
Chippenham TownDrawFarnborough Town
1-0 @ 5.23% (0.017 0.02)
2-1 @ 5.1% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.61% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.7% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.66% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 18.83%
1-1 @ 10.2% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.62%
0-1 @ 10.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.96% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 6.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.47% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 3.16% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-5 @ 1.23% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.23% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 59.55%

Head to Head
Apr 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Chippenham
2-1
Farnborough
Tomlinson (38'), Parker (73')
Ball (53')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Farnborough
0-1
Chippenham
McClure (45' pen.)