National League North | Gameweek 3
Nov 24, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
 
Alfreton Town

Kidderminster
3 - 0
Alfreton

Moyo (26'), Hemmings (70', 86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Kidderminster Harriers and Alfreton Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.

Result
Kidderminster HarriersDrawAlfreton Town
46.21%25.25%28.54%
Both teams to score 53.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.71%49.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.66%71.34%
Kidderminster Harriers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66%21.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.7%54.3%
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.6%31.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.23%67.77%
Score Analysis
    Kidderminster Harriers 46.2%
    Alfreton Town 28.54%
    Draw 25.24%
Kidderminster HarriersDrawAlfreton Town
1-0 @ 10.34%
2-1 @ 9.26%
2-0 @ 7.99%
3-1 @ 4.77%
3-0 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 2.76%
4-1 @ 1.84%
4-0 @ 1.59%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 46.2%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.7%
2-2 @ 5.36%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 7.76%
1-2 @ 6.94%
0-2 @ 4.5%
1-3 @ 2.68%
2-3 @ 2.07%
0-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 28.54%