Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.