Copa Sudamericana
Jul 21, 2026 11.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
  • Bruno Zuculini 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Bruno Zuculini 49' redcard
  • goal Jalil Elías 2'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo Martínez 32'
  • yellowcard Santiago López 38'
  • goal Ignacio Russo 45'+4'
  • goal Elías Cabrera 90'

Nacional vs Tigre - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions

Tigre

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 43.62%. A draw had a probability of 29.35% and a win for Tigre had a probability of 27.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%) , while for a Tigre win it was 0-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result

Nacional 43.62%
Draw 29.35% (+0.02)
Tigre 27.06% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.63%

Goals

Over 1.5 62.52% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 37.48% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 35.55% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 64.45% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 16.86%
Under 3.5 83.14%
Over 4.5 8.28%
Under 4.5 91.72%

First Half Winner

Nacional 30.63% (-0.02)
Draw 48.64% (-0.01)
Tigre 20.73% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Nacional 52.74% (+0.02)
No Goal 12.04% (+0.01)
Tigre 35.22% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 59.86%
Equal 8 11.64%
Under 8 28.51%
Over 9 47.79%
Equal 9 12.07%
Under 9 40.14%
Over 10.5 36.37%
Under 10.5 63.63%

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 34.16% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 65.84% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 12.21% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 87.79% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 3.77% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.23% (+0.02)

Tigre Goals

Over 0.5 57.13% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 42.87% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 21.79%
Under 1.5 78.21%
Over 2.5 6.31% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 93.69% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.5%
Under 3.5 98.5%

Score analysis

Nacional 43.63%
Draw 29.35%
Tigre 27.06%
Nacional
1-0 @ 14.7% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.12%
2-1 @ 8.11%
3-0 @ 3.33% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.21%
3-2 @ 1.44% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 43.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 12.04% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.56%
Other @ 0.05% (-0.01)
Total : 29.35%
Tigre
0-1 @ 10.78% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.88%
0-2 @ 4.6% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 1.45% (+0.02)
Total : 27.06%